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If this were a remotely normal election year, it would be over.All of the data now points to a landslide victory for Hillary Clinton.Unpredictable, however, has beaten predictable all year. The predictors are paranoid, as well they should be. The most unpredictable variable of all 鈥擠onald Trump 鈥?has been spinning into a deeper and deeper hole, but that doesnt mean hell stay there.The RealClearPolitics average of national polls gives Clinton a 6.2-point lead head-to-he stanley mug ad against Trump and a stanley cup 4.6-point lead in a four-person race. These are landslide margins by recent standards.In the eleven states pegged as the closest battlegrounds, Trump leads in only one 鈥擨owa. Clinton has a realistic shot at winning bright red states such as Utah, Missouri and Arizona.In a remotely normal election, the final presidential debate next week would be almost pro forma in terms of influencing the Election Day count. It would seem like Clintons final, very low hurdle.This year, who knows It is hard to imagine that Trump can do anything to help his prospects at this point, but it isnt so hard to imagine something bad hap vaso stanley pening to Clintons.If youre in the market for something truly unpredictable, take a look at the battle to control the U.S. Senate. That will be a late-night cliffhanger on Nov. 8. There also is a chance the Republicans will lose control of the House, but it is very remote. If Clinton does win, of course, control of the Senate will be the single greatest factor in the early part of |
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